Monday, November 01, 2004
Bush or Kerry? A Pocketbook Rating
My friend Michael told me he picked up an interesting factoid in a recent article from Business Week:
". . . history shows that Wall Stree performs better under DemocraticThe article has other facts and an analysis of each candidate's positions and plans on other factors affecting your pocketbook.
Administrations. Since 1901, the Dow Jones industrial average has returned an
average 9.1% annually under Democrats, but only 6% under Republicans."
Electoral Predictions Show Kerry Win
There are two sites that take the most recent polling data in each state and put forth projections on the electoral college. Both have Kerry winning. The Princeton site also projects the national popular vote and has a separate projection factoring in calculated guesses for turnout.
Both these sites are loading slowly as they're getting hit a lot. They have backup sites, which I've also listed for you.
Meta-Analysis of State Polls - election.princeton.edu
Princeton BackUp Site
This Electoral Vote site is great and he's promising to update it throughout election night.
Electoral-Vote
BackUp Site #3
BackUp Site #4
Finally, if you're a polling junkie and want to understand the models and how the questions are asked in the various polls, Mystery Pollster lays out the goods.
Both these sites are loading slowly as they're getting hit a lot. They have backup sites, which I've also listed for you.
Meta-Analysis of State Polls - election.princeton.edu
Princeton BackUp Site
This Electoral Vote site is great and he's promising to update it throughout election night.
Electoral-Vote
BackUp Site #3
BackUp Site #4
Finally, if you're a polling junkie and want to understand the models and how the questions are asked in the various polls, Mystery Pollster lays out the goods.
